Another Unsettled Weekend

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~We finally had a beautiful weekend of weather last week after 7 weekends straight of rain and clouds! Unfortunately, we ended that streak at one! Mostly sunny skies return early next week. Heat wave in the long term? 


~An area of low pressure sitting over the IN/IL border today will SLOWLY push eastward into Sunday. This is sending cloud cover our way, and eventually rain and scattered thunderstorms by Saturday. A few sprinkles or showers are possible late this afternoon and tonight. Conversely, an area of high pressure is sitting off the New England coast which is allowing for yet another beautiful Friday across New England. It is this area of high pressure that is responsible for a strong, easterly flow today. Winds 10-20mph straight off the ocean combined with thick, low-level cloud cover is keeping temperatures from getting out of the mid 70s today, mid to upper 60s at the coast! Overall the day largely remains dry. A good day for outdoor projects and exercising! 


~The same area of low pressure will progress northeastward into northern OH/southeast Michigan by Saturday as high pressure off the New England coast slides further east, bringing cloudiness and showers/thunderstorms across the area. Storms look to be of the hit and miss variety Saturday. The day is likely not a washout, but more than one round of rain is possible. The first round of storms will come through early Saturday morning followed by a long lull before a late afternoon/evening round of storms. High temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s. If we can get some sunshine to pop out in the afternoon, perhaps we reach the mid 80s. Overall, not the best day for activities and beach goers. 


~Sunday certainly looks tricky and could go either way. That same area of low pressure will still be with us but weakening and slowly departing. Our rain chances lower from Saturday, but still can't rule out a brief shower or thunderstorm. Skies largely look to be mostly cloudy and may become partly sunny in the afternoon with high temperatures in the mid 80s. Wouldn't be surprised to see some areas become mostly sunny Sunday afternoon. The best chance of rain will come during the evening hours. It will also be noticeably humid with dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s. Winds will be south-southwest at 10-15mph. 


Early Next Week:

~High pressure moves in from Canada/Great Lakes Monday through Wednesday bringing mostly sunny skies and lower humidity. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s, seasonable for late June. With the drier air mass and clear skies, temperatures across southern NJ Monday night and Tuesday night may get down into the 50s for the mainland! 


Late June/Early July:

~There is STRONG agreement among ensemble guidance that by late June/Early July a large, synoptic scale ridge of high pressure builds in the eastern U.S. Modeling suggests that we could be seeing heights of 590+ decameter's, which is a unit of measurement in meteorology used to help understand what kind of air mass aloft we are dealing with. This would almost certainly lead to a prolonged stretch of 90+ degree temperatures and high humidity. Summer is here!