Nor'easter Update | Don't Plan on Staying Home From School!

Last Edited:

Summary:

> Overall the ideas developed yesterday remain unchanged.

> Moderate impact to the region, more wet than white.

> Track of low looks much closer to the coast which will lead to injection of warm air.

> Showers arrive tonight, rain to maybe snow along I-95

> Accumulating snow most likely west and northwest of Hammonton.

> I'm going with my LOW END map I issued yesterday.

> Strong winds gusting to over 45mph likely at the coast, decreasing the farther west you go.

> Beach erosion and a round or two of higher end minor flooding likely.

> Storm wraps up and is out by dinner time tomorrow.

Timing:

Rain moves in this evening, light then turning moderate overnight. Looks like it's warm enough for most of us to be rain, I-95 and near Philadelphia looks colder to me and couple be snow. Storm exists and gets out of dodge by late PM tomorrow.

Rain:

Looks like a healthy 1" or so could fall between 9pm tonight and 3pm tomorrow. It will be a wind-driven rain.

Accumulations:

Due to warm air injection, I'm going with the LOWER end of my thinking I issued last night. Why? Low looks to hug the coast.

Eastern Atlantic County - All rain. MAYBE a coating if the cold pulls down from the northwest.

Cape May County - All Rain

Central Atlantic County - A coating to an inch

Western Atlantic County - 1-3"

Eastern Cumberland County - All Rain

Western Cumberland County - 1-3"

Salem County - 3-6"

Camden County - 3-6"

Gloucester County - 3-6"

Southeast Burlington - C-1"

Central & Northwest Burlington - 3-6"

Winds:

They pick up tonight first out of the east and then out of the northeast by tomorrow morning. Gusts will exceed 45mph at the coast, 40 on the mainland.

Flooding:

Higher end minor or low end moderate possible on Wednesday. Nothing major, but be mindful as you've had all week anyway.

Impact Scale:

?

3 out of 5.

What Could Change:

If the EURO model is correct, there could be more snow on the back end making it to the coast which would boost the numbers A LITTLE... not by much.